Why Windows on ARM Can’t Match Apple Silicon’s Success

1. Fragmentation and Control:

   • Apple’s strength lies in its tight control over both hardware and software. With Apple Silicon, they design and manufacture their own chips, ensuring seamless integration.
   • In contrast, Windows operates on an open architecture, which historically led to its success. However, this openness becomes a liability with ARM PCs. Ensuring compatibility with diverse hardware is challenging.
   • Apple’s granular control allowed them to create Rosetta II, a near-perfect translation layer for legacy apps. Windows’ equivalent isn’t as refined, given the complex ecosystem.

2. It’s a Fork, Not a New Path:

   • Apple fully committed to Apple Silicon, leaving behind Intel Macs. This focus streamlines development and instills confidence in developers.
   • Windows, however, maintains both ARM and x86 versions side-by-side. This lack of singularity affects resource allocation and confidence for developers and customers.

3. The iPhone Pricing Advantage Comes to Mac:

   • Apple’s iPhones and iPads consistently outperform Android devices due to larger, more complex chips.
   • Apple prices the entire device, not just individual components. In contrast, Windows ARM laptops face thin margins, leading to compromises.

4. Minimum Performance Not Guaranteed:

   • Apple ensured even entry-level M1 systems could handle typical tasks. Windows ARM laptops, including Snapdragon Elite systems, sometimes suffer shaky performance.
   • Over time, ARM Windows laptops may struggle even more, unlike the robust performance of Apple Silicon devices.

5. Bad User Experiences Taint Perception:

   • Apple meticulously prepares before product releases. Windows for ARM, however, stumbled with early Surface systems that weren’t ready for public use.
   • Apple’s Rosetta II and ARM hardware faced similar challenges, but their polished release created a positive perception. Windows for ARM needs to overcome initial disappointments.

Despite these challenges, Windows on ARM remains relevant. Snapdragon Elite laptops running native ARM applications show promise. Let’s keep an eye on the future and hope for the best. 🚀👍